Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 224.262477 252.303936 283.329380 320.350026 363.513335 412.479065 472.556623
2025-03-23 182.892269 219.953053 264.519499 322.651623 397.351261 491.322546 620.428397
2025-03-30 156.742669 196.412223 246.662951 316.066822 411.168535 539.540509 730.588343
2025-04-06 139.956490 181.252151 235.812688 314.811436 429.084871 593.006017 854.893111
2025-04-13 122.843921 163.145871 218.148447 300.782440 425.577448 613.643451 932.345778
2025-04-20 116.582143 158.910303 218.660914 311.995117 459.613596 694.382480 1119.296027
2025-04-27 111.825602 156.106287 220.591483 325.064264 497.721201 787.018321 1345.963263
2025-05-04 104.704470 149.040388 215.280531 325.903365 515.627879 848.078357 1528.277293
2025-05-11 96.543234 139.635462 205.390265 318.012234 517.291598 880.104635 1660.426301
2025-05-18 89.764033 131.767692 197.133910 311.781349 520.753126 915.485990 1807.020784
2025-05-25 86.872923 129.720176 197.935123 320.948670 553.175318 1011.643742 2110.958688
2025-06-01 82.335264 124.656283 193.293288 319.922839 566.040339 1070.340860 2343.294092
2025-06-08 77.018222 118.066411 185.762917 313.278351 567.845099 1107.834173 2538.883262
2025-06-15 73.437713 114.114401 182.437969 314.115664 584.948755 1182.314655 2856.499489
2025-06-22 69.083830 108.537660 175.804072 307.906287 586.415267 1221.180979 3087.356360
2025-06-29 65.877087 104.703038 171.948403 306.671527 598.324230 1287.066352 3421.584207
2025-07-06 61.164466 97.958153 162.351296 293.087859 581.186567 1278.122430 3518.003179
2025-07-13 60.211398 97.757929 164.709226 303.946526 620.881312 1422.395377 4180.437634
2025-07-20 59.512611 97.949841 167.786843 316.599725 666.743638 1594.058617 5025.713101
2025-07-27 57.380182 95.395986 165.434387 317.411982 684.057106 1689.972172 5630.614298
2025-08-03 54.409131 91.127008 159.469447 309.772634 679.198508 1720.056416 5979.506800
2025-08-10 51.828480 87.447663 154.427611 303.739558 677.722002 1760.455911 6396.721487
2025-08-17 51.037871 87.083429 155.930267 312.615541 716.674843 1937.259364 7555.752571